La Fiorita vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
45%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 2
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 5
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COS
2 - 1
SGI
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 3
SGI
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 4
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |