La Fiorita vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SGI
3 - 3
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 1
COS
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 4
TPE
43%
25%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
PEN
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
JUV
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |