La Fiorita vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
FIO
10%
22%
68%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
DOM
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 4
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
FAE
53%
22%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |