La Fiorita vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
28%
23%
49%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
CAI
1 - 2
FIO
16%
21%
62%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
FOL
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 3
JUV
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 0
MUR
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |