La Fiorita vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
30%
24%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
23%
47%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 5
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |