La Fiorita vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
DOM
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |