La Fiorita vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
67%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 3
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |