La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 2
FIO
6%
18%
76%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 3
FIO
17%
25%
59%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |