La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
FIO
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FIO
8%
18%
73%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 3
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TFI
3 - 3
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
25%
58%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FOL
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |