La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
TFI
58%
21%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAI
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
LIB
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 0
COS
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
TPE
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |