La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 2
TPE
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
5 - 1
FAE
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
CAI
0 - 6
FIO
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
TFI
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | -3 |