La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FAE
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 2
JUV
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |