La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIB
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 2
DOM
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FIO
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 4
FOL
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
TPE
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FOL
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |