La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 4
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
FIO
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 1
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |