La Fiorita vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 1
DOM
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |