La Fiorita vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 2
DOM
82%
14%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 4
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
FIO
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COS
1 - 2
SGI
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 0
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |