La Fiorita vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 2
FIO
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 3
FIO
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 3
FIO
24%
23%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |