Fiorenzuola vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 2
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
COR
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 4
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
SDT
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
URI
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RIB
0 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
DEL
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 0
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
VFC
33%
27%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |