Fiorenzuola vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 2
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
5 - 0
ASD
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TUT
0 - 2
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 0
PIA
31%
26%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
SAN
58%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPO
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
MEZ
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |