Fiorenzuola vs Vigor Carpaneto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 2
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
24%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
PIA
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
USD
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
USD
2 - 2
RIM
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
USD
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
USD
2 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |