Fiorenzuola vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 2
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
COR
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 4
FIO
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
SDT
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 1
USP
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
USP
0 - 2
ACS
55%
25%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
USP
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
USP
1 - 2
LEN
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 1
USP
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |