Fiorenzuola vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
18º
17º
22
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CIT
0 - 1
FIO
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 0
RIC
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
ZEN
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
PRO
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 1
ZEN
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
COR
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 4
CIT
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 0
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |