Fiorenzuola vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 2
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VFC
1 - 2
FIO
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
IMO
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SDT
2 - 0
LAV
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
SDT
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 2
MPO
31%
26%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 2
SDT
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SDT
0 - 3
MAS
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |