Fiorenzuola vs Riccione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
18º
17º
19
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
ZEN
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
IMO
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 1
RIC
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
RAV
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
RIC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 1
CIT
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |