Fiorenzuola vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GSD
3 - 2
PSM
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ADR
49%
21%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 2
PSM
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 3
PRO
29%
27%
45%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 2
PSM
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |