Fiorenzuola vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
ADR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASD
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MOD
1 - 4
FIO
76%
17%
7%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
PAV
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 0
PER
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
CLA
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 3
PER
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PER
6 - 2
FAN
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |