Fiorenzuola vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
USD
0 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
39%
27%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 0
SCA
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COR
1 - 2
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MOD
1 - 0
MEZ
74%
19%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SDT
4 - 0
MEZ
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MEZ
1 - 2
COR
29%
23%
49%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
MEZ
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |