Fiorenzuola vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 2
FIO
66%
18%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
PIA
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
URI
1 - 2
FIO
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ACS
1 - 2
FIO
49%
25%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 1
RIB
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 1
URI
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ACS
1 - 2
MEZ
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
0 - 0
RIB
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MEZ
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 3
DEL
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |