Fiorenzuola vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AXY
0 - 2
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FIO
2 - 0
PSM
55%
24%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -3 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
2 - 2
CRE
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
REG
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
PER
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -3 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 2
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 2
PSM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |