Fiorenzuola vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IMO
4 - 0
FIO
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 0
RAV
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
FIO
66%
22%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SDA
1 - 2
URI
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 2
SDA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SDA
1 - 3
RIB
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACE
0 - 1
SDA
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
SDA
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |