Fiorentino vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
2 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
2 - 1
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
BOL
17 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 5
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |