Fiorentino vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |