Fiorentino vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
51%
27%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 2
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
TPE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 4
DOM
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
4 - 6
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
TPE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |