Campionato Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Fiorentino vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 3
FOL
26%
27%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
5 - 2
FIO
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
29%
23%
48%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
45%
24%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |