Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 2
SGI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FIO
1 - 0
FAE
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 4
TFI
24%
25%
52%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 0
DOM
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
3 - 2
COS
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TPE
3 - 2
SMA
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 1
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |