Fiorentino vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 2
JUV
44%
22%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 4
VIR
19%
24%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAE
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAE
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
9%
19%
72%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COS
4 - 0
PEN
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |