Fiorentino vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
FIO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 0
FIO
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 5
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
5 - 0
PEN
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |