Fiorentino vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
MUR
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
CAI
2 - 3
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
TPE
15%
18%
68%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
FOL
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 5
FAE
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |