Fiorentino vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 2
FIO
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SGI
4 - 1
FIO
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
4 - 1
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
5 - 2
COS
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
66%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 4
FIO
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
MUR
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |