Fiorentino vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TPE
1 - 1
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
FOL
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |