Fiorentino vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 2
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FAE
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |