Fiorentino vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
69%
16%
14%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TPE
4 - 0
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
COS
2 - 0
MUR
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 2
SGI
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |