Fiorentino vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 2
SGI
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
9%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 4
PEN
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 1
LIB
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |