Fiorentino vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 3
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
62%
19%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
TPE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TFI
0 - 0
JUV
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COS
0 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |