Fiorentino vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
FOL
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
16%
24%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |