Fiorentino vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
FIO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
1 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 0
FIO
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FAE
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |