Fiorentino vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
30%
28%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAI
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |