Fiorentino vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DOM
1 - 0
FIO
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 2
FIO
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |