Fiorentino vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
DOM
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
FAE
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
4 - 3
CAI
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
FIO
28%
24%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |