Fiorentino vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAE
3 - 1
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
FAE
4 - 1
SGI
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 3
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |